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Reference Points

Consider an investor who buys a stock for $100 and sees it rise to $150 at the end of the year. The following year, the stock closes at $125. Whether the investor is likely to interpret the investment as a gain or loss depends on the reference point used. In general, investors tend to use relatively recent reference points, with some research indicating that investors favor the 52-week high.  This theory is supported by a study showing that employee stock option exercises nearly doubles when the stock rises past the previous 52-week high.

Source: Psychology of Investing, The (2nd Edition)

For more information, see all articles on: Behavioral Finance, Investing in Stocks, Portfolio Management, Research

See also:
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  • Technical Analysis Explained : The Successful Investor's Guide to Spotting Investment Trends and Turning Points

    The Intelligent Investor: The Classic Text on Value Investing

    Financial Statement Analysis: A Practitioner's Guide, 3rd Edition

    Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic Process (CFA Institute Investment Series)

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