Best and Worst Situations for Applying Residual Income Models
When used to value stocks, the residual income model separates value as the sum of two components:
- The current book value of equity (BV)
- The present value of expected future residual income [sum from time t=1 to infinity(RI/(1+r)^t)]
The model can be used to value the firm (based on total book value and residual income) or a share, using book value and residual income per share.
Like any model, residual income models are more appropriate at some times than others. They are most appropriate when:
- The subject company is non-dividend paying
- Free cash flow is unstable or negative over a reasonable forecast horizon
- Other approaches result in greater sensitivity to terminal value than the investor finds comfortable
The are less appropriate when:
- the company’s accounting practices result in significant dirty surplus
- the components of residual income (book value, ROE) are not predictable
The Intelligent Investor: The Classic Text on Value Investing
Financial Statement Analysis: A Practitioner's Guide, 3rd Edition
Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic Process (CFA Institute Investment Series)
